Friday, August 27, 2010

Proof Of Insider Stock Trading? Surely the SEC does NOT know about THIS?

SEC - FTC - DOJ - Judges - State Attorney General - and more.. they DO know ..

I think that whenever they need some Xtra Cash... IN MY OPINION.. they just initiate an Intel Lawsuit then Settle.. and WELL you.. the Little People. .the Millionaires.. the Investors.. the Good Attorneys.. the Taxpayers. .the Analysts and Investigators... ahhh Shucks.. WELL your Just Collateral Damage...

So What's this About PROOF of Insider Trading at Intel
and Well RICO Proof and ....

" Quantitative Model confirms RICO Proof of Intel Insider Stock Trading.

In analyzing the economics of Intel Production Short Runs for FTC, this analyst has been decomposing the components of an Intel insider stock trading tool.

Recomposed components of the tool yield a rudimentary Intel Economics Simulation.

The tool requires one quasi public, and one public signal, that when filtered together enable the inside trader to estimate changes in Intel’s revenue and margin out into the future.

And can specifically be used to estimate Intel Profit Margin ahead into future time; for playing the stock price, INTC.

Input to perform the necessary economics calculations to Play the Stock are supplied by the quasi public signal from Micro Design Resource; which are Intel Quarterly Microprocessor quantities estimated two years into future time.

The public signal is Intel change in price notices which are widely publicized in business, finance and trade news sources; including New York Times, PC Week, CNET, Register and other hard copy and web publications.

Who knew they were more then simply Intel Price Announcements?

Intel change in price notices have traditionally been released to the public audience, trade and Intel supply channels 90 days ahead of the actual price changes taking affect.

This lag effect gives the Intel Inside Stock Trader a 90 day window for recalculating change in Intel revenues and profit margins for playing the stock. And can be accomplished simply with two inputs; price change calculated against Micro Design Resource quantities estimated into future time.

Typically the Inside Trader could Project Intel Revenue and Margin Value 3 months ahead on Intel Advance Notice of changes in Microprocessor Prices.

Periodically, public notice of Intel price change has been shorter then 3 months.

And multiple price changes have occurred within some
Intel Quarterly Production periods under analysis.

Mr. Gwennap who is principle analyst and proprietor of Micro Design Resource (MDR), raised concerns on his perceived misuse of MDR Intel production estimates, by the investment banking community, to this analyst in 2001.

Mr. Gwennap provided the Intel Production Estimates on which this analyst has decomposed the Quanda against Intel 1,000 piece stated price.

Resulting in a tool for retrospectively playing Intel Corporation Stock Price and for calculating monopoly costs and consumer harms based on change in quarterly revenue and margin potential.

Several questions exist concerning future time Micro Design Resource estimate of Intel microprocessor quantities on wafer dice estimates.

First are they purely an MDR estimate of Intel production capability?

Second, might estimates be Intel’s actual production forecast passed to MDR for industry publication?

Third, if purely MDR estimates were quantities confirmed by Intel end of quarter, as quarterly PC shipments are confirmed by PC Companies to PC industry analysts?

Fourth, how accurate are the MDR estimates? Fifth, and the wild card, are estimates fictitious designed by late 1990’s MDR owner, the Bill Ziff Davis Publishing Company, purely to lead and pump the stock price?

Micro Design Resource estimates of Intel Production are widely accepted as accurate.

Given the best price projection and economic tools Intel Inside Traders can calculate change in Intel revenue and margin, by microprocessor product line, and from the outcome play the stock on quarterly financial outcomes up to two years into the future.

I have no doubt all major trading houses knew of the Quanda, including Robertson Stephens, and were running this software simulation on Intel Xeon Servers performing similar exchange calculations and financial simulations.

Noteworthy the Quanda is also how Media Sales Agents calculated their future revenue flows from Intel Network.

Retrospectively, the Quanda enables the Media Sales Agent to calculate their Intel Inside charge back flows from Intel Combine up to two years into the future.

On this cash flow projection media based their Intel product production plan; the amount of Intel dedicated page space, Dealer PC product reviews and sales coverage.

The Quanda can also be used to estimate advance PC company revenues and margins; specifically Intel Dealers; Dell, Gateway, others by extending the simulations inputs to two additional public signals.

Those Signals are sales space invested by Ziff Davis, IDG and other publications on PC product coverage and review pages.

Media Sales Agents push computer brand models known to carry the highest value Intel Inside charge backs.

Media focuses on skimming these Intel and Dealer values through their focused PC review coverage.

Intel product allocation to Dealers can be estimated by the specific weight of PC Company Brand models that Media Agents push onto consumers in real time.

Two metrics can be used for determining which Dealer’s computer brand models Media Sales Agents are pushing onto consumers for their Intel ‘tied charge’ kick back.

The best metric here shown in PC World analysis, below, is purely the page space allocated to any one Dealer’s PC brand model product reviews.

With this method there is no subjectivity associated with Editorial Accolade, the sole determinants being Media Sales Agent cost of page space and kick back revenues on this investment in Intel Dealership.

The second metric is more subjective, harder to prove as a stand alone indicator, potentially much more evil from the standpoint of an affront to journalism.

That is when the Media Sales Agent begins skewing Editor’s Choice and similar Product Awards to Dealer’s brand models.

This tactic is relied upon for accelerated sales and major capture of the Intel tied charge back. Note that Media Sales Agents compete with one another for total kick back values associated from anyone Intel production short run.

For the purpose of this analysis that charge back value is always 3% (times 2; one half representing Intel Kick Back, the other is Dealer half representing charge back trigger) calculated against Intel total revenues from anyone production short run. ""

Full Document and Source:
www.CEOpaulOtellini.com
on Top of Site...

Information by
Mike Bruzzone
Intel Case Technical Analysis since 1996
Camp Marketing Consultancy


posted Here by
Crystal L. Cox
Investigative Blogger
Got an Intel Insider Trading TIP?
Crystal@CrystalCox.com

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